Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCS: 43 · v1

Severe Weather near Williamsburg

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 10 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

This alert expired on 4 August 2026 at 21:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued August 4 at 2:34PM EDT until August 4 at 5:00PM EDT by NWS Wakefield VA

Urban PEI: 273,974 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

How we know

6 recorded sources include NOAA; independence is not established by this count.

Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)43 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.91/1
Coordinates37.1241, -76.9421
Nearest CityWilliamsburg (26 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)274.0K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-08-04T18:34:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Flash Flood Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.edb35b65804f28318059e722150e144d

Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-08-04T18:34:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-08-04T18:49:18.743Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
70
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
80
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventFlash Flood Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescIsle of Wight, VA; City of Suffolk, VA; Chesterfield, VA; City of Richmond, VA; Chesterfield, VA; Prince George, VA; City of Colonial Heights, VA; City of Hopewell, VA and 1 more areas
HeadlineFlash Flood Warning issued August 4 at 2:34PM EDT until August 4 at 5:00PM EDT by NWS Wakefield VA
Expires2026-08-04T17:00:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Wakefield VA
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount4
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.edb35b65804f28318059e722150e144dc8c1a184.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.86aea473ecaf0bc57910e2982892fd3dc047bb4b.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7e286ff3ab82dfbdc1621909e986a8ad5b522e10.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.11cc39fd6a736f96fd8cb2978794fdf40a1af597.001.1"]
Iem TypeSummaryF
Iem CityDowntown Portsmout
Iem CountyCity of Portsmouth
Iem StateVA
Iem WfoAKQ
Iem RemarkFlooding being reported along portions of Effingham St from 264 to Crawford Pkwy.
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_F_36.860_-76.290_1785865500000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1785865500000,"latitude":36.86,"longitude":-76.29},{"id":"iem_F_37.370_-77.330_1785868440000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1785868440000,"latitude":37.37,"longitude":-77.33},{"id":"iem_F_36.850_-76.290_1785865980000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1785865980000,"latitude":36.85,"longitude":-76.29},{"id":"iem_F_37.300_-77.300_1785867960000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1785867960000,"latitude":37.3,"longitude":-77.3},{"id":"iem_F_36.830_-76.310_1785867300000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1785867300000,"latitude":36.83,"longitude":-76.31}]

Safety Information

During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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